/ writing/ 2006-11-07

Predictions

The Iowa Election Markets tend to be one of the more accurate predictors of election results. For almost a month now, the simulations have predicted that the GOP will hold the US Senate but lose the House. Interestingly, the last-minute uptick in Republican poll standings have not been reflected there.

Senate prediction market House prediction market

Posted during week 1705 (November 2006)
Related pages:
  • Election Day Observations
  • Follow the money
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